TRANSPARENCY

TeleSemana proprietary algorithm. Calibrated. Rigorous. Auditable.

Built on auditable public sources and calibrated against real benchmarks. Confidence band ±8%.

45.1

TB · Lusail Final 2022

88,966 attendees · 0.507 GB/fan · Ooredoo

64.72

TB · Super Bowl LX 2026

68,500 attendees · 0.945 GB/fan · Verizon

+86%

Per-capita growth 2022→2026

Cross-calibration of the model

>50

TB per match · US venues projection

Official Verizon projection for World Cup 2026

Our estimates combine official FIFA stadium capacities with operator-published reports (Verizon Consumer Connections, Ooredoo Qatar 2022, AT&T Super Bowl), median speeds from Ookla Speedtest Intelligence, and documented bitrates from major video platforms.

The 8 model variables

Stadium capacity

FIFA (official), StadiumDB, official venue websites

Mobile and smartphone penetration

ITU World Telecommunication Indicators, GSMA Intelligence, FCC, OECD

Speeds by operator and city

Ookla Speedtest Intelligence (country-operator medians)

Upload and download bitrates

Public documentation from TikTok, Instagram, YouTube and Twitch

Peak behavior by event type

Verizon and AT&T public reports, Super Bowl LVII–LX

Per-capita consumption per match

Verizon Consumer Connections Report 2023–24, Super Bowl LX Levi's Stadium 2026

Network readiness per venue

readiness_score calculated across 13 infrastructure parameters researched by TeleSemana (Wi-Fi, DAS, operators, investment, benchmarks)

Consumption growth 2022–2026

Cross-calibration Lusail Final 2022 (45.1 TB) and Super Bowl LX 2026 (64.72 TB)

The formula

// Traffic per match

Traffic = Capacity × % active × MB/person × Phase Multiplier

× Moment Factor × Readiness modifier

// Phase multipliers

Groups: 1.0× · Round of 16/QF: 1.4× · Semi/Final: 1.85×

// Event peaks

Goal: +150% for 30 sec · Halftime: +40% sustained

Peak: minutes 90–105 post-final whistle (+200%)

// Readiness modifier per venue

Score 94/100 (Levi's): capacity ×1.25

Score 75/100 (average): capacity ×1.06

Score 52/100 (Akron): capacity ×0.89

Limitations

Our estimates cover traffic generated in and around the stadiums, not the total traffic of the host cities. We do not include traffic from fan zones, fan fests, or remote broadcasts.

TeleSemana's model is a proprietary algorithm built on auditable public sources and calibrated against real large-event benchmarks. It does not reproduce any operator's network telemetry — it produces independent estimates with a ±8% confidence band.

Post-tournament validation

When operators publish their official post-tournament figures (typically 2–4 weeks after the final), we will compare our estimates against real data and publish the results. If our model predicted 42 TB at MetLife and Verizon reports 44 TB, we document it. Full transparency.

Questions about our methodology?

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